EURUSD - Daily analysis and trading strategy: Will we witness parity in EURUSD?

EURUSD-7

The new week begins with the G20 meeting in Brazil. It is possible to outline new directions for the development of the world, especially in the hotspots Ukraine and Israel.


On Monday, the ECB’s President Lagarde speech is expected, where it should become clear whether there will be a change in interest rate policy in Europe after the election of Trump. Lagarde is likely to hint at a cut in the key interest rate.


The tariffs that the new team in the White House is expected to introduce to Europe and especially to its industrial part, such as Germany, are already having an impact. Factories will not be able to compete with Chinese and American goods. In addition, the market for goods from Europe is constantly shrinking, and the quality is falling.
Currently, 41.5% of German companies report a lack of orders. This percentage will increase significantly in early 2025.
A number of manufacturers from Europe are thinking about where to go. Possible locations are the United States, China, and possibly other countries such as Turkey and Southeast Asian countries.

EURUSD Trading on Nov 17th 2024


The euro has no chance in the near term. The probability of Euro/Dollar parity is very likely even before January 20, 2025 (Donald Trump’s Inauguration).


Therefore, our strategy remains to sell the euro with the aim of parity and down. If you are entering the market now, wait for the slight upward correction of 50-80 pips to re-open a short position. For this week, we expect the dollar to take a lead of 100-130 pips against the Euro.

Source: World-Signals.com

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